Make decisions while keeping unknowns visible

Consider decisions with incomplete information through known facts, unknowns and postponement.

What to compare

Compare acknowledging ignorance, gathering information and avoiding a rushed decision.

  1. 1 / 3

    Knowing and not knowing

    Read the distinction between knowing and not knowing.

    A question to follow

    Are verified facts separated from guesses used to complete the story?

  2. 2 / 3

    The use of spies: information from people

    Consider information obtained from people and the field.

    A question to follow

    Where could information that changes the decision be checked lawfully?

  3. 3 / 3

    Grounded judgment

    Read grounded judgment against the pressure to conclude quickly.

    A question to follow

    Can decisions needed now be separated from those that can wait?

To try in your work

Make a note separating known facts, hypotheses, unknowns and the decision deadline.

Scope of this guide

Sunzi’s account of information does not authorize surveillance or unlawful collection.

Read through a work problem

Sources
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